Product Description: The increase in financial pressure on public authorities, and the dynamic growth of freight transport demand, represents a major challenge for transport policy. Furthermore, traditional aggregate models of freight transportation show weaknesses in forecasting quality, especially when it comes to the modeling of individual decision reactions...read more

'Advances in Business and Management Forecasting' is a blind refereed serial publication published on an annual basis. The objective of this research annual is to present state-of-the-art studies in the application of forecasting methodologies to such areas as sales, marketing and strategic decision making.

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For years, savvy marketers have held on to certain unwavering beliefs that have dictated how they market to their consumers. The hard truth, however, is that at the heart of the changes we see in marketing and business is based on one undeniable factor―the size of the generations we are selling to. As each generation ages, what they buy and how much they buy will change. Each product and service has a "best customer" that sustains a business. As these customers grow up, the smartest marketers will stay ahead of them―and their money. In The Age Curve, marketing guru Ken Gronbach shows executives and entrepreneurs how to anticipate this wave of predictable demand and ride it to success. Both eye-opening and compelling, The Age Curve will change the way companies look at their customers and how they court them.

Financial markets respond to information virtually instantaneously. Each new piece of information influences the prices of assets and their correlations with each other, and as the system rapidly changes, so too do correlation forecasts. This fast-evolving environment presents econometricians with the challenge of forecasting dynamic correlations, which are essential inputs to risk measurement, portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and many other critical financial activities. In Anticipating Correlations, Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Engle introduces an important new method for estimating correlations for large systems of assets: Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC). Engle demonstrates the role of correlations in financial decision making, and addresses the economic underpinnings and theoretical properties of correlations and their relation to other measures of dependence. He compares DCC with other correlation estimators such as historical correlation, exponential smoothing, and multivariate GARCH, and he presents a range of important applications of DCC. Engle presents the asymmetric model and illustrates it using a multicountry equity and bond return model. He introduces the new FACTOR DCC model that blends factor models with the DCC to produce a model with the best features of both, and illustrates it using an array of U.S. large-cap equities. Engle shows how overinvestment in collateralized debt obligations, or CDOs, lies at the heart of the subprime mortgage crisis--and how the correlation models in this book could have foreseen the risks. A technical chapter of econometric results also is included. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Anticipating Correlations puts powerful new forecasting tools into the hands of researchers, financial analysts, risk managers, derivative quants, and graduate students.

Product Description: Endovascular aortic endografts have evolved rapidly over the past two decades and a new generation of ultra-low profile devices have entered the market. Abdominal aortic aneurysms can now be treated endovascularly in the majority of cases and endovascular treatment of many thoracic aortic lesions has made important progress in the last decade...read more

Product Description: This Assessment of Development Results (ADR) in the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan is an independent country-level evaluation conducted by the Evaluation Office of UNDP in 2012-2013. It assesses UNDPAEs overall performance and contribution to stabilization and development in Afghanistan and covers the period of 2009-2013, corresponding approximately with the programming period from 2010-2014...read more

Product Description: This Assessment of Development Results (ADR) in Timor Leste was conducted by the Independent Evaluation Office (IEO) of the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) in early 2012, towards the end of the 2009u2013 UNDP programme cycle with a view to contributing to the preparation of the new UNDP country programme and the UNDP component of the forthcoming United Nations Development Assistance Framework...read more

Product Description: The phenomenon of uncertainty is not new; what is new is its intensity and potential to change industries and destroy companies. Business leaders can be on the defensive, or they can be on offense, prepared to lead decisively. The ability to deal with uncertainty is perhaps the paramount skill leaders must have to be successful in this era...read more

The crash of 2008 revealed that the world's central banks had failed to offset the financial imbalances that led to the crisis, and lacked the tools to respond effectively. What lessons should central banks learn from the experience, and how, in a global financial system, should cooperation between them be enhanced? Banking on the Future provides a fascinating insider's look into how central banks have evolved and why they are critical to the functioning of market economies. The book asks whether, in light of the recent economic fallout, the central banking model needs radical reform. Supported by interviews with leading central bankers from around the world, and informed by the latest academic research, Banking on the Future considers such current issues as the place of asset prices and credit growth in anti-inflation policy, the appropriate role for central banks in banking supervision, the ways in which central banks provide liquidity to markets, the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of central banks, the culture and individuals working in these institutions, as well as the particular issues facing emerging markets and Islamic finance. Howard Davies and David Green set out detailed policy recommendations, including a reformulation of monetary policy, better metrics for financial stability, closer links with regulators, and a stronger emphasis on international cooperation. Exploring a crucial sector of the global economic system, Banking on the Future offers new ideas for restoring financial strength to the foundations of central banking.

Product Description: The religious revolution known as the 'Reformation' must rank among the most crucial and transforming events in English history. Yet its original reception by the English people remains largely obscure. Did they welcome the innovations - or did they resist? By what internal motivations were their responses determined? And by what external influences were their attitudes shaped? These are the key issues explored by Robert Whiting in this major investigation, based primarily on original research in the south-west...read more (view table of contents, read Amazon.com's description)

Product Description: Fast track route to rock-solid business plans Covers key areas of business planning from understanding why a plan is necessary and what issues it should address to compiling the plan and using it to direct the business and ensure goals are met...read more (view table of contents, read Amazon.com's description)