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Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis
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Bibliographic Detail
Publisher Rand Corp
Publication date November 1, 2003
Pages 186
Binding Paperback
Book category Adult Non-Fiction
ISBN-13 9780833032751
ISBN-10 0833032755
Dimensions 0.50 by 6 by 8.75 in.
Weight 1 lbs.
Original list price $30.00
Summaries and Reviews
Amazon.com description: Product Description: The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., "Man will never fly"-has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of futures and design adaptive strategies to be robust across them. Using sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods apply to LTPA and a wide range of decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty.

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Paperback
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from Rand Corp (November 1, 2003)
9780833032751 | details & prices | 186 pages | 6.00 × 8.75 × 0.50 in. | 1.00 lbs | List price $30.00
About: The checkered history of predicting the future-e.

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