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Future Babble: Why Pundits Are Hedgehogs and Foxes Know Best
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Bibliographic Detail
Publisher Plume
Publication date February 28, 2012
Pages 305
Binding Paperback
Edition Reprint
Book category Adult Non-Fiction
ISBN-13 9780452297579
ISBN-10 0452297575
Dimensions 0.75 by 5.75 by 8.25 in.
Weight 0.54 lbs.
Original list price $17.00
Summaries and Reviews
Amazon.com description: Product Description: New York Times bestselling author of Superforecasting and Future Babble

"Genuinely arresting . . . required reading for journalists, politicians, academics, and anyone who listens to them."—Steven Pinker, author of How the Mind Works

 

We are awash in predictions. In newspapers, blogs, and books; on radio and television. Every day experts tell us how the economy will perform next year, if housing sales will grow or shrink, and who will win the next election. Predictions are offered about the climate, food, technology, and the world our grandchildren will inhabit. And we can't get enough of it.

Drawing on research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner explores our obsession with the future. He shows how famous pundits, "hedgehogs" who stick to one big idea no matter how circumstances change, become expert at explaining away predictions that are wrong while "foxes," who are more equivocal in their judgments, are simply more accurate.



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Paperback
Book cover for 9780452297579
 
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Reprint edition from Plume (February 28, 2012)
9780452297579 | details & prices | 305 pages | 5.75 × 8.25 × 0.75 in. | 0.54 lbs | List price $17.00
About: New York Times bestselling author of Superforecasting and Future Babble"Genuinely arresting .

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