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Tables of Contents for International Futures
Chapter/Section Title
Page #
Page Count
List of Tables, Figures, and Important Notes
xiii
Preface
xvii
Acknowledgments
xix
List of Acronyms
xxi
Action in the Face of Uncertainty
1
8
The Examination of Change
2
2
Values and the Future
4
1
Human Leverage
5
1
How Should Our Study Proceed?
6
3
Global Change
9
36
Types of Change
10
3
Demographic Change
13
3
Economic Change
16
4
Change in Agriculture and Food
20
5
Change in Energy
25
3
Environmental Change
28
6
Technological Change
34
4
Sociopolitical Change
38
5
Conclusion
43
2
Using IFs to Investigate Change
45
22
Some Background on International Futures
46
1
Examining Forecasts
47
3
Demographic Change
50
5
Economic Restructuring
55
2
Food Availability
57
2
Energy Transition
59
1
Environmental Impact
60
1
Technological Change
61
1
Sociopolitical Change
62
3
Conclusion
65
2
Causal Understandings and Scenarios
67
18
Causal Understandings
67
5
Changing Forecasts and Creating Scenarios
72
11
Conclusion
83
2
Population
85
12
Population Dynamics
87
3
Scenario Analysis
90
5
Conclusion
95
2
Economics
97
20
Economic Dynamics
100
7
Scenario Analysis
107
8
Conclusion
115
2
Food and Agriculture
117
8
Food and Agriculture Dynamics
118
4
Scenario Analysis
122
2
Conclusion
124
1
Energy
125
10
Energy Dynamics
129
1
Scenario Analysis
130
3
Conclusion
133
2
The Environment
135
10
Environmental Dynamics
138
1
Scenario Analysis
138
6
Conclusion
144
1
Domestic Social and Political Systems
145
8
Sociopolitical Dynamics
148
4
Scenario Analysis
152
1
Conclusion
152
1
The Global Sociopolitical System
153
16
Global System Dynamics
157
1
Scenario Analysis
158
10
Conclusion
168
1
Preferred Futures
169
6
The Contemporary World Order Transformation
169
3
The Interaction of Choices
172
2
Conclusion
174
1
Appendix I: Parameters and Variables
175
10
Appendix II: Where to Go Next
185
4
Notes
189
4
Glossary
193
4
References
197
6
Index
203
13
Licensing Agreement
216