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Tables of Contents for The Mind's Arrows
Chapter/Section Title
Page #
Page Count
Acknowledgments
xi
Introduction
1
4
I Developmental Psychology and Discovery
5
44
Android Epistemology for Babies
7
12
Introduction
7
1
Children
8
2
The Platonic Theory of Cognitive Development
10
3
The Theory Theory
13
1
Android Epistemology
14
2
Issues
16
3
Another Way for Nerds to Make Babies: The Frame Problem and Causal Inference in Developmental Psychology
19
30
The Frame Problem
19
2
A Toy Introduction to the Markov Assumption
21
3
The Causal Markov Assumption
24
3
Causal Bayes Nets
27
2
The Utility of Causal Bayes Nets
29
5
Heuristics and Concept Formation
34
8
Experiments
42
3
Conclusion
45
4
II Adult Judgements of Causation
49
62
A Puzzling Experiment
51
12
The Baker Experiment
51
4
Of Mice and Men
55
8
The Puzzle Resolved
63
6
Marilyn vos Savant Meets Rescorla and Wagner
69
6
Introduction
69
1
Conditional Dependence and the Monte Hall Game
69
2
Testing Rescorla and Wagner's Model
71
4
Cheng Models
75
18
Introduction
75
1
Cheng's Model of Human Judgement of Generative Causal Power
76
3
Preventive Causes
79
1
Generative Interaction
79
3
Cheng Models as Bayes Nets
82
5
Discovering the Causal Graph
87
3
Conclusion
90
3
Learning Procedures
93
10
Introduction: The Virtues of Rescorla-Wagner
93
2
Point Estimates of Causal Powers
95
1
Adaptive Scores: The Bayesian Way
95
3
Building on Patterns in the Data
98
1
Heuristics and Compromises
99
1
Building on Sand
100
3
Representation and Rationality: The Case of Backward Blocking
103
8
Backward Blocking
103
1
Experiments
104
1
Backward Blocking Does Not Hold in All Models
104
2
Backward Blocking Holds for Cheng Models
106
2
General Considerations
108
1
Backward Blocking in the Cheng Model and Inference from Frequencies
109
2
III Inference and Explanation in Cognitive Neuropsychology
111
58
Cognitive Parts: From Freud to Farah
113
16
Parts, Beliefs, and Habits: Classical Neuropsychology
113
2
The Connectionist Alternative
115
1
Freud
116
5
Farah
121
6
Issues
127
2
Inferences to Cognitive Architecture from Individual Case Studies
129
22
The Issues
129
2
Theories as Functional Diagrams and Graphs
131
3
Formalities
134
3
Discovery Problems and Success
137
4
An Illustration
141
3
Complications
144
2
Resource/PDP Models
146
5
Group Data in Cognitive Neuropsychology
151
8
Introduction
151
1
An Inexhaustive Review
152
2
Problems of Discovery from Frequencies with Deterministic Input/Output Behavior
154
2
Problems of Discovery with Indeterministic Input/Output Relations
156
3
The Explanatory Power of Lesioning Neural Nets
159
10
Introduction
159
1
Networks and Graphs
160
2
Feedforward Networks as Bayes Nets
162
2
Feedforward Networks without Unobserved Nodes
164
1
Hidden Nodes
165
1
Recurrent Networks
166
1
Implications
167
2
IV Psychometrics and Social Psychology
169
36
Social Statistics and Genuine Inquiry: The Case of The Bell Curve
171
34
Introduction
171
1
Varieties of Pseudoscience
171
2
Inquiry and Discovery
173
2
The Bell Curve
175
2
Factor Analysis
177
12
Regression and Discovery
189
7
The Problems of Causal Inference
196
8
Projects and Attitudes
204
1
Notes
205
4
References
209
10
Index
219
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