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Tables of Contents for Taking Chances
Chapter/Section Title
Page #
Page Count
What is probability?
1
13
Think straight
3
1
The inviolable rule
4
1
Some working methods
5
2
Long runs
7
2
Averages and variability
9
4
Lotteries
13
23
Your chance of winning
14
6
A winning strategy?
20
6
More than one ticket?
26
2
Are the numbers drawn really random?
28
6
Summary
34
2
Football Pools, Premium Bonds
36
13
Football Pools
36
6
Premium Bonds
42
3
The best gamble?
45
4
One coin, many games
49
19
How's your intuition?
49
2
Game on
51
3
Penney-ante
54
5
How long are you in the lead?
59
6
Postscript
65
1
Summary
65
1
Test yourself quiz
66
2
Dice
68
22
One die
68
2
Two dice---backgammon
70
9
Tow dice---Monopoly
79
3
Tow dice---craps
82
1
Three or more dice---totals
83
2
Four dice---Chevalier de Mere's problem
85
1
Bettering an opponent
86
1
Fairground games
87
3
Games with few choices
90
33
The dating game
91
1
An easier game
92
1
A fisherman's tale
93
1
Back to Table 6.2
94
3
A fair game?
97
1
Finding the best strategies
98
2
Other games
100
6
Two choices for Roy, many for Colin
106
1
Counter signals
107
4
Games animals play
111
4
The battle of the sexes
115
3
Postscript
118
1
Summary
119
2
Test yourself quiz
121
2
Waiting, waiting, waiting
123
22
Birthdays
123
4
The Spoilers (2)
127
1
Other matches
128
2
More than one match?
130
1
Packs of cards (1)
131
2
Packs of cards (2)
133
3
Card/coupon collecting
136
6
The secretary problem
142
3
Let's play best of three
145
16
Snooker-type games
146
6
Squash-type games
152
3
Anyone for tennis?
155
4
Summary
159
2
TV games
161
23
Find the lady
161
2
Wipeout
163
12
The Showcase showdown
175
3
Blockbusters
178
4
Postcript
182
2
Casino games
184
32
Roulette
185
16
Casino stud poker
201
9
Baccarat chemin de fer
210
3
Other casino games
213
2
Test yourself quiz
215
1
Bookies, the Tote, spread betting
216
23
Bookmakers
216
11
Can you win from the bookies?
227
3
The Tote
230
2
Spread betting
232
7
This sporting life
239
18
Soccer
239
6
Golf
245
2
Cricket
247
4
Tennis
251
3
Tournament formats
254
3
Lucky for some---miscellanea
257
22
Cards-whist, bridge
257
6
Shuffling
263
2
Dividing the prize
265
1
Vowel or consonant?
266
3
Benford's law
269
4
Guess the other colour
273
1
At least two Aces?
274
3
Which player is favoured?
277
2
Appendix I. Counting
279
6
Appendix II. Probability
285
12
Appendix III. Averages and variability
297
10
Appendix IV. Goodnes-of-fit tests
307
8
Appendix V. The Kelly strategy
315
4
Solutions to test yourself quizzes
319
5
Literature cited
324
3
Index
327