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Tables of Contents for Change and Continuity in the 1992 Elections
Chapter/Section Title
Page #
Page Count
Tables and Figures
xi
6
Preface to the Revised Edition
xvii
2
Preface
xix
 
Part 1 The 1992 Presidential Election Contest
1
92
1 The Nomination Struggle
15
30
Who Ran
18
1
The Rules
19
7
The Campaigns
26
15
The Conventions
41
4
2 The General Election Campaign
45
22
The Strategic Context and Candidates' Choices
46
5
From Labor Day to the Debates
51
5
The Debates: Nine Days of Drama
56
5
To the Finish Line
61
3
Did the Campaign Matter?
64
3
3 The Election Results
67
26
The Perot Vote and the Election Rules
70
7
The Pattern of Results
77
3
State-by-State Results
80
7
Electoral Change in the Postwar South
87
1
Was There a Republican Electoral Vote Advantage?
88
5
Part 2 Voting Behavior in the 1992 Presidential Election
93
158
4 Who Voted?
97
34
Turnout From 1828 Through 1916
97
3
Turnout From 1920 Through 1992
100
4
Turnout Among Social Groups
104
10
Why Has Turnout Declined?
114
6
Why Turnout Increased in 1992
120
3
Did Increased Turnout Matter?
123
5
Does Low Turnout Matter?
128
3
5 Social Forces and the Vote
131
32
How Social Groups Voted in 1992
132
11
How Social Groups Voted During the Postwar Years
143
15
Why the New Deal Coalition Broke Down
158
5
6 Candidates, Issues, and the Vote
163
32
Attitudes Toward the Candidates
165
5
Retrospective and Prospective Evaluations
170
3
The Concerns of the Electorate
173
2
Issue Positions and Perceptions
175
4
Issue Voting Criteria
179
4
Apparent Issue Voting in 1992
183
9
The Issue Preferences of Perot Voters
192
1
Conclusion
193
2
7 Presidential Performance and Candidate Choice
195
26
What Is Retrospective Voting?
196
3
Evaluations of Governmental Performance
199
4
Economic Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent
203
4
Other Retrospective Evaluations
207
3
Evaluations of the Incumbent
210
2
The Impact of Retrospective Evaluations
212
4
The Retrospective Evaluations of Perot Voters
216
3
Conclusion
219
2
8 Party Loyalties, Policy Preferences, and the Vote
221
30
Party Identification: The Standard View
221
1
Party Identification: An Alternative View
222
2
Party Identification in the Electorate
224
6
Party Identification and the Vote
230
2
Policy Preferences and Performance Evaluations
232
12
The Perot Candidacy
244
3
Conclusion
247
4
Part 3 The 1992 and 1994 Congressional Elections
251
100
9 Candidates and Outcomes in 1992
257
42
Election Outcomes in 1992
257
15
Candidates' Resources and Election Outcomes
272
10
The 1992 Elections: The Impact on Congress
282
5
The 1994 Elections and Beyond
287
12
10 The Congressional Electorate in 1992
299
18
Social Forces and the Congressional Vote
299
4
Issues and the Congressional Vote
303
1
Party Identification and the Congressional Vote
304
1
Incumbency and the Congressional Vote
305
3
The Congressional Vote as a Referendum
308
2
Presidential Coattails and the Congressional Vote
310
3
Incumbency and Candidate Resources Revisited
313
2
Conclusion
315
2
11 The 1994 Congressional Election
317
34
The Pattern of Outcomes
317
2
Assessing Victory and Explaining the Results
319
4
National and Local Influences in Congressional Elections
323
13
The 1994 Elections: The Impact on Congress
336
8
The 1996 Election and Beyond
344
7
Part 4 The 1992 and 1994 Elections in Perspective
351
18
12 The 1992 and 1994 Elections and the Future of American Politics
355
14
The 1996 Presidential Campaign
358
1
Prospects for the Democrats
359
2
Prospects for the Republicans
361
3
Prospects for a New Political Party
364
3
Prospects for Continued Electoral Volatility
367
2
Notes
369
48
Suggested Readings
417
8
Index
425