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Tables of Contents for Learning About Quality
Chapter/Section Title
Page #
Page Count
Preface
iii
 
Figures
vii
 
Tables
ix
 
Summary
xi
 
Acknowledgments
xv
 
Abbreviations
xvii
 
Chapter One INTRODUCTION
1
4
Why a New Measure of Quality?
1
1
Job Hierarchies and Imperfect Information About Workers
2
1
Imperfect Information About Recruits
2
2
Guide to the Following Chapters
4
1
Chapter Two PREVIOUS STUDIES AND PERSONNEL QUALITY INDICATORS
5
12
Internal Labor Markets
5
3
Military Studies of Promotion
8
1
Personnel Quality Indicators
9
8
Chapter Three A BAYESIAN MODEL OF SERVICE MEMBER QUALITY
17
10
The Military Context
17
2
Ward-Tan Model
19
2
Expected Quality
21
2
Bayesian Updating and Limits on Information About Quality
23
1
Illustration of Bayesian Updating
24
3
Chapter Four MODEL IMPLEMENTATION
27
12
How the Model Works: Basic Intuition
27
4
Details of Step 1
27
3
Details of Step 2
30
1
How the Model Works: A More Formal Approach
31
2
Details of Step 1
31
2
Promotion Outcome Probabilities
33
2
The Likelihood Function
35
1
Details of Step 2
36
3
Chapter Five DATAAND EMPIRICAL RESULTS
39
16
The Data
39
1
Empirical Results
40
13
A Detailed Look at One Service, Cohort, and Occupation
40
8
Results Across Services, Cohorts, and Occupations
48
4
The Case of the Navy
52
1
Problems in Estimating the Model
53
2
Chapter Six CONCLUSIONS
55
6
Value of a New Measure of Quality
55
1
Identifying and Retaining High-Quality Members
55
2
Uses of the New Measure of Quality
57
1
Limitations of the Model
58
3
Appendix
A. STANDARDIZATION AND COMPARISON BETWEEN GROUPS
61
8
B. ANALYSIS TABLES
69
16
C. PARAMETER ESTIMATES
85
22
Bibliography
107