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Tables of Contents for The Air Force Pilot Shortage
Chapter/Section Title
Page #
Page Count
Preface
iii
 
Figures
vii
 
Table
ix
 
Summary
xi
 
Acknowledgments
xvii
 
Abbreviations and Acronyms
xix
 
The Pilot Shortage
1
10
The Origin of the Shortage
1
3
The Nature of the Shortage
4
1
The Real Crisis Is in Fighters
4
1
The Shortage Consists Solely of Experienced Pilots
4
1
Retention Issues
5
6
Major Airline Pilot Demographics
6
1
Major Airline Pilot Demand
7
4
Experience Levels in Operational Units: The Real Issue
11
16
The Analytic Framework
11
7
Experience and Inexperience
12
2
The Problem with Decreasing Experience
14
1
Preliminary Results
15
2
Aircraft Utilization (UTE) Rate Constraints (Why the Required Sortie Increase Cannot Be Flown)
17
1
Inexperience Feeds on Itself in Fighter Units
18
4
The Aging Rate for New Pilots
18
2
The Aging Rate Deficit
20
2
The Slippery Slope
22
5
Controlling Experience Levels
27
12
Options Are Limited
27
2
Absorb Fewer Pilots
27
1
Reduced Pilot Production Is Not a Viable Long-Term Solution
28
1
Total Force Alternatives
29
10
Follow-on to Project Season
29
4
Associate Programs
33
2
Guard and Reserve Manning Issues
35
4
Conclusions
39
10
Appendix
A. A Brief Overview of Rand's Operational Unit Training Model
43
4
B. Derivation of Formulas Used in Low-Experience Examples
47
2
Bibliography
49