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Tables of Contents for The United States and a Rising China
Chapter/Section Title
Page #
Page Count
Preface
iii
Figure and Tables
ix
Summary
xi
Acknowledgments
xix
Glossary
xxi
Introduction
1
2
Determinants of Chinese National Security Behavior
3
34
Determinants of Policy During the ``Modernization'' Period
4
12
Pursuit of ``Comprehensive National Power''
4
2
Sovereignty Concerns
6
2
Regime Maintenance
8
2
Dissatisfaction with the Current International System
10
2
Other Factors that Could Affect Chinese Behavior
12
4
Determinants of Policy in the ``Postmodernization'' Period
16
11
Realist Theory
17
3
Chinese Historical Record
20
5
Imperatives of Modernization
25
2
What Political-Military Challenges Might China Pose?
27
9
Vindicating Claims to Territory or Territorial Waters
27
4
To Deal with a Separatist Threat
31
1
To Prevent the Emergence of a New Threat to China
32
2
To Protect Ethnic Chinese Populations or Business Interests
34
1
To Secure Deference from Regional States
35
1
Conclusion
36
1
China's Military Modernization
37
26
The PLA Today: ``Short Arms and Slow Feet''
39
9
Chinese Military---Strategic Strengths
39
6
Chinese Military---Strategic Weaknesses
45
2
Summing Up: The Chinese Military Challenge Today
47
1
Chinese Military Modernization
48
15
Two Avenues to Improved Capabilities
48
2
Chinese Military Modernization: Buying Abroad
50
3
Chinese Military Modernization: Building at Home
53
4
Other Programs
57
2
Summing Up: The Chinese Military in 2015
59
4
U.S. Policy Options
63
26
Current U.S. Policy Toward China: Inconsistent ``Engagement''
63
6
Engagement as a Policy
63
1
Rationale of the Engagement Policy
64
2
The Taiwan Issue in the Context of Engagement
66
1
Limitations of Engagement as a Policy
66
1
Criticisms of Engagement Policy
67
2
Containment as an Alternative Policy
69
3
Substance of a Containment Policy
69
1
The Assumptions on Which Containment Would Be Based: Realist Theory
70
1
Difficulties and Disadvantages of Containment
71
1
A ``Third Way''
72
3
Combining Containment with Engagement (``Congagement'')
72
1
Elements of Such a Policy
72
3
Assumptions Behind Such a Policy
75
1
Implications for the U.S. Armed Forces and the USAF in Particular
75
9
USAF Role in Shaping the Political-Military Environment
76
1
Warfighting Implications
77
7
Deterrence Implications
84
1
Need to Threaten High Levels of Violence
84
1
Characteristics of the Chinese Use of Force
85
1
Conclusion
85
4
Bibliography
89