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Tables of Contents for The Empire of Chance
Chapter/Section Title
Page #
Page Count
Acknowledgments
xi
 
Introduction
xiii
 
Classical probabilities, 1660--1840
1
36
Introduction
1
1
The beginnings
2
4
The classical interpretation
6
5
Determinism
11
3
Reasonableness
14
5
Risk in gambling and insurance
19
7
Evidence and causes
26
6
The moral sciences
32
2
Conclusion
34
3
Statistical probabilities, 1820--1900
37
33
Introduction
37
1
Statistical regularity and I'homme moyen
38
7
Opposition to statistics
45
3
Statistics and variation
48
5
The error law and correlation
53
6
The statistical critique of determinism
59
9
Conclusion
68
2
The inference experts
70
53
In want of a ``system of mean results''
70
3
Analysis of variance
73
6
Fisher's antecedents: early significance tests and comparative experimentation
79
11
The controversy: Fisher vs. Neyman and Pearson
90
16
Hybridization: the silent solution
106
3
The statistical profession: intellectual autonomy
109
6
The statistical profession: institutions and influence
115
5
Conclusion
120
3
Chance and life: controversies in modern biology
123
40
Introduction
123
1
Spontaneity and Control: chance in physiology
124
8
Coincidence and design: chance in natural history
132
9
Correlations and causes: chance in genetics
141
11
Sampling and selection: chance in evolutionary biology
152
11
The probabilistic revolution in physics
163
40
The background: classical physics
163
3
Probability in classical physics: the epistemic interpretation
166
4
Three limitations of classical physics: sources of probabilism
170
5
Comments on the three limitations
175
4
Mass phenomena and propensities
179
3
Explanations from probabilistic assumptions
182
5
The puzzle of irreversibility in time
187
3
The discontinuity underlying all change
190
13
Statistics of the mind
203
32
Introduction
203
1
The pre-statistical period
204
1
The new tools
205
6
From tools to theories of mind
211
3
A Case study: from thining to judgments under uncertainty
214
12
The return of the reasonable man
226
7
Conclusion
233
2
Numbers rule the world
235
36
Introduction
235
2
New objects
237
14
New values
251
12
New rules
263
7
Conclusion
270
1
The implications of chance
271
22
Probabilistic imperialism
271
3
What does probability mean?
274
2
Determinism
276
10
Mechanized inference
286
3
Statistical Lebensgefuhl
289
4
References
293
34
Name index
327
7
Subject index
334