Product Description: Prediction and Regulation by Linear Least-Square Methods was first published in 1963. This revised second edition was issued in 1983. Minnesota Archive Editions uses digital technology to make long-unavailable books once again accessible, and are published unaltered from the original University of Minnesota Press editions...read more

Product Description: This text is designed for practitioners and students of applied statistical forecasting. It is suitable for both the undergraduate or graduate business student. The text presents structured, detailed discussions of the concepts, and step-by-step procedures for using current forecasting methods...read more

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Beliefs, Interactions and Preferences in Decision Making mixes a selection of papers, presented at the Eighth Foundations and Applications of Utility and Risk Theory (`FUR VIII') conference in Mons, Belgium, together with a few solicited papers from well-known authors in the field. This book addresses some of the questions that have recently emerged in the research on decision-making and risk theory. In particular, authors have modeled more and more as interactions between the individual and the environment or between different individuals the emergence of beliefs as well as the specific type of information treatment traditionally called `rationality'. This book analyzes several cases of such an interaction and derives consequences for the future of decision theory and risk theory. In the last ten years, modeling beliefs has become a specific sub-field of decision making, particularly with respect to low probability events. Rational decision making has also been generalized in order to encompass, in new ways and in more general situations than it used to be fitted to, multiple dimensions in consequences. This book deals with some of the most conspicuous of these advances. It also addresses the difficult question to incorporate several of these recent advances simultaneously into one single decision model. And it offers perspectives about the future trends of modeling such complex decision questions. The volume is organized in three main blocks: The first block is the more `traditional' one. It deals with new extensions of the existing theory, as is always demanded by scientists in the field. A second block handles specific elements in the development of interactions between individuals and their environment, as defined in the most general sense. The last block confronts real-world problems in both financial and non-financial markets and decisions, and tries to show what kind of contributions can be brought to them by the type of research reported on here. (view table of contents)

Product Description: Paul Halpern investigador y profesor de fisica y matematicas en the university of the sciences en philadelphia autor de varios libros ha escrito un libro de estricta divulgacion: una riquisima reflexion acerca de la necesidad humana de entender la realidad y encontrar una estructura coherente detras de los acontecimientos llena de ejemplos anecdotas y reveladoras descripciones...read more

Product Description: From one of the editors of the renowned book Beyond Calculation, acclaimed by The New York Times for its "astonishing intellectual reach", comes a new collection of equal brilliance. Focusing on the impact of computers on humans, Talking Back to the Machine features essays on how computers will affect the ways we live, learn, teach, communicate, and relate to each other in the coming decades...read more

Product Description: One of the driving forces behind much of modern science and technology is the desire to foresee and thereby control the future. In recent years, however, it has become clear that, even in a deterministic world, there is alimit to the accuracy with which we can predict the future...read more