search for books and compare prices
cover image
Masters of Uncertainty: Weather Forecasters and the Quest for Ground Truth
Price
Store
Arrives
Preparing
Shipping
The price is the lowest for any condition, which may be new or used; other conditions may also be available. Rental copies must be returned at the end of the designated period, and may involve a deposit.
Jump down to see edition details for: Hardcover | Paperback
Bibliographic Detail
Publisher Univ of Chicago Pr
Publication date November 17, 2015
Pages 271
Binding Paperback
Book category Adult Non-Fiction
ISBN-13 9780226298689
ISBN-10 022629868X
Dimensions 1 by 6 by 9 in.
Weight 0.86 lbs.
Original list price $35.00
Other format details university press
Summaries and Reviews
Amazon.com description: Product Description:
Though we commonly make them the butt of our jokes, weather forecasters are in fact exceptionally good at managing uncertainty. They consistently do a better job calibrating their performance than stockbrokers, physicians, or other decision-making experts precisely because they receive feedback on their decisions in near real time. Following forecasters in their quest for truth and accuracy, therefore, holds the key to the analytically elusive process of decision making as it actually happens.

In Masters of Uncertainty, Phaedra Daipha develops a new conceptual framework for the process of decision making, after spending years immersed in the life of a northeastern office of the National Weather Service. Arguing that predicting the weather will always be more craft than science, Daipha shows how forecasters have made a virtue of the unpredictability of the weather. Impressive data infrastructures and powerful computer models are still only a substitute for the real thing outside, and so forecasters also enlist improvisational collage techniques and an omnivorous appetite for information to create a locally meaningful forecast on their computer screens. Intent on capturing decision making in action, Daipha takes the reader through engrossing firsthand accounts of several forecasting episodes (hits and misses) and offers a rare fly-on-the-wall insight into the process and challenges of producing meteorological predictions come rain or come shine. Combining rich detail with lucid argument, Masters of Uncertainty advances a theory of decision making that foregrounds the pragmatic and situated nature of expert cognition and casts into new light how we make decisions in the digital age.


Editions
Hardcover
Book cover for 9780226298542
 
from Univ of Chicago Pr (November 17, 2015)
9780226298542 | details & prices | 271 pages | 6.25 × 9.00 × 0.75 in. | 1.12 lbs | List price $105.00
About: Though we commonly make them the butt of our jokes, weather forecasters are in fact exceptionally good at managing uncertainty.
Paperback
Book cover for 9780226298689
 
The price comparison is for this edition
from Univ of Chicago Pr (November 17, 2015)
9780226298689 | details & prices | 271 pages | 6.00 × 9.00 × 1.00 in. | 0.86 lbs | List price $35.00
About: Though we commonly make them the butt of our jokes, weather forecasters are in fact exceptionally good at managing uncertainty.

Pricing is shown for items sent to or within the U.S., excluding shipping and tax. Please consult the store to determine exact fees. No warranties are made express or implied about the accuracy, timeliness, merit, or value of the information provided. Information subject to change without notice. isbn.nu is not a bookseller, just an information source.