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Product Description: We know that our world is undergoing seismic change―but how can we emerge from the crisis a fairer, more equal society?Over the past two centuries or so, capitalism has undergone profound changes―economic cycles that veer from boom to bust―from which it has always emerged transformed and strengthened...read more

Hardcover:

9780374235543 | Farrar Straus & Giroux, February 9, 2016, cover price $27.00 | About this edition: We know that our world is undergoing seismic change―but how can we emerge from the crisis a fairer, more equal society?
9781846147388 | Gardners Books, May 1, 2015, cover price $28.00 | About this edition: From Paul Mason, the award-winning Channel 4 presenter, Postcapitalism is a guide to our era of seismic economic change, and how we can build a more equal society.

Paperback:

9780374536732 | Farrar Straus & Giroux, February 21, 2017, cover price $16.00 | About this edition: We know that our world is undergoing seismic change―but how can we emerge from the crisis a fairer, more equal society?

CD/Spoken Word:

9781504681087 | Unabridged edition (Blackstone Audio Inc, February 9, 2016), cover price $34.95 | About this edition: Over the past two centuries or so, capitalism has undergone profound changes from which it has always emerged transformed and strengthened.

A New York Times BestsellerAn Economist Best Book of 2015"The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow."—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal   Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught?   In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters."   In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.

Hardcover:

9780804136693 | Crown Pub, September 29, 2015, cover price $28.00 | About this edition: A New York Times BestsellerAn Economist Best Book of 2015"The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.

Paperback:

9780804136716 | Broadway Books, September 13, 2016, cover price $17.00

CD/Spoken Word:

9781101923962 | Unabridged edition (Random House, September 15, 2015), cover price $40.00

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Product Description: Our intuition on how the world works could well be wrong. We are surprised when new competitors burst on the scene, or businesses protected by large and deep moats find their defenses easily breached, or vast new markets are conjured from nothing...read more

Hardcover:

9781610395793 | Public Affairs, May 12, 2015, cover price $27.99 | About this edition: Our intuition on how the world works could well be wrong.

Paperback:

9781610397353 | Reprint edition (Public Affairs, August 30, 2016), cover price $17.99 | About this edition: Our intuition on how the world works could well be wrong.

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Product Description: A frank assessment of economists’ blindness before the financial crash in 2007–2008 and what must be done to avert a sequel The failure of economists to anticipate the global financial crisis and mitigate the impact of the ensuing recession has spurred a public outcry...read more

Hardcover:

9780300213546 | 1 edition (Yale Univ Pr, May 26, 2015), cover price $28.00 | About this edition: A frank assessment of economists’ blindness before the financial crash in 2007–2008 and what must be done to avert a sequel The failure of economists to anticipate the global financial crisis and mitigate the impact of the ensuing recession has spurred a public outcry.

Paperback:

9780300219494 | Yale Univ Pr, June 14, 2016, cover price $18.00 | About this edition: A frank assessment of economists’ blindness before the financial crash in 2007–2008 and what must be done to avert a sequel The failure of economists to anticipate the global financial crisis and mitigate the impact of the ensuing recession has spurred a public outcry.
9780395809693, titled "Insight Guides Buenos Aires" | 3rd edition (Apa Productions, July 1, 1996), cover price $21.95 | also contains Insight Guides: Buenos Aires

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Product Description: International Bestseller "Quite simply the best guide to the global economy today." ―Fareed ZakariaShaped by his twenty-five years traveling the world, and enlivened by encounters with villagers from Rio to Beijing, tycoons, and presidents, Ruchir Sharma’s The Rise and Fall of Nations rethinks the "dismal science" of economics as a practical art...read more

Hardcover:

9780393248890 | W W Norton & Co Inc, June 7, 2016, cover price $27.95 | About this edition: International Bestseller "Quite simply the best guide to the global economy today.

CD/Spoken Word:

9781504730280 | Unabridged edition (Blackstone Audio Inc, June 7, 2016), cover price $39.95 | About this edition: This pioneering work demystifies the drivers behind political, economic, and social change.

cover image for 9781107138681
Product Description: The second edition of this popular book offers an accessible yet sophisticated analysis of the game-changing events and trends that are transforming the world beyond recognition. For the first time in human history, more people live in cities than in the countryside, and greater numbers suffer from obesity than from hunger...read more

Hardcover:

9781107138681 | 2 edition (Cambridge Univ Pr, June 1, 2016), cover price $94.99 | About this edition: The second edition of this popular book offers an accessible yet sophisticated analysis of the game-changing events and trends that are transforming the world beyond recognition.

Paperback:

9781316503539 | 2 reprint edition (Cambridge Univ Pr, April 26, 2016), cover price $39.99 | About this edition: The second edition of this popular book offers an accessible yet sophisticated analysis of the game-changing events and trends that are transforming the world beyond recognition.

cover image for 9781598132748
Product Description: What will the economy look like in fifty years? How will our lives as consumers and workers be transformed by the coming innovations in technology, the marketplace, and the workplace? How will changes in demographics and dependency affect our political system? Will economic freedom rise or fall? What, if anything, would greater prosperity do for one’s total well-being? Future: Economic Peril or Prosperity? poses these and related questions to a diverse group of economists whose predictions will inspire thoughtful consideration and debate...read more
By Robert M. Whaples (editor)

Hardcover:

9781598132748 | Independent Inst, August 1, 2016, cover price $16.95 | About this edition: What will the economy look like in fifty years?

Paperback:

9781598132755 | Reprint edition (Independent Inst, May 1, 2016), cover price $12.95

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Product Description: During the 1990s Francis Fukuyama announced the end of history. The 2000s showed how it is an illusion to imagine a peaceful world without conflict.In this book the authors explore how six major constraints are set to fix the trajectory of the global economy...read more

Hardcover:

9781137589927 | Palgrave Macmillan, March 8, 2016, cover price $30.00 | About this edition: During the 1990s Francis Fukuyama announced the end of history.

cover image for 9780306824418
Product Description: Game-changing trends are coming in business, technology, workforce, economy, security, and environment. Climate change, energy demand, and population growth will redefine global risk and power. Exponential new technologies will emerge in digital money, mobile commerce, and big data...read more

Hardcover:

9780306822865 | Da Capo Pr, January 27, 2015, cover price $26.99 | About this edition: Game-changing trends are coming in business, technology, workforce, economy, security, and environment.

Paperback:

9780306824418 | Da Capo Pr, March 1, 2016, cover price $17.50 | About this edition: Game-changing trends are coming in business, technology, workforce, economy, security, and environment.

cover image for 9781119145677
Product Description: "Mesmerizing & fascinating..."  —The Seattle Post-Intelligencer "The Freakonomics of big data." —Stein Kretsinger, founding executive of Advertising.com Award-winning | Used by over 30 universities | Translated into 9 languages An introduction for everyone...read more

Hardcover:

9781118356852 | John Wiley & Sons Inc, February 19, 2013, cover price $28.00 | About this edition: “Mesmerizing & fascinating.

Paperback:

9781119145677 | Rev upd edition (John Wiley & Sons Inc, January 11, 2016), cover price $24.00 | About this edition: "Mesmerizing & fascinating.

cover image for 9780195170184
Product Description: Why has the Eurozone ended up with an unemployment rate more than twice that of the United States more than six years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers? Why did the vast majority of low- and middle-income countries suffer a prolonged economic slowdown in the last two decades of the 20th century? What was the role of the International Monetary Fund in these economic failures? Why was Latin America able to achieve substantial poverty reduction in the 21st century after more than two decades without any progress?Failed analyzes these questions, explaining why these important economic developments of recent years have been widely misunderstood and in some cases almost completely ignored...read more

Hardcover:

9780195170184 | Oxford Univ Pr, October 1, 2015, cover price $24.95 | About this edition: Why has the Eurozone ended up with an unemployment rate more than twice that of the United States more than six years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers?

cover image for 9781469061634
Product Description: Our intuition on how the world works could well be wrong. We are surprised when new competitors burst onto the scene, when businesses protected by large and deep moats find their defenses breached, or when vast new markets are conjured from nothing...read more

Hardcover:

9780521362788, titled "Bonded Histories: Genealogies of Labor Servitude in Colonial India" | Cambridge Univ Pr, June 1, 1990, cover price $64.95 | also contains Bonded Histories: Genealogies of Labor Servitude in Colonial India | About this edition: To the modern world, the notions that freedom is an innate condition of human beings and that money possesses the power to bind people appear as natural facts.

CD/Spoken Word:

9781469061627, titled "No Ordinary Disruption: The Four Global Forces Breaking All the Trends: Library Edition" | Unabridged edition (Blackstone Audio Inc, July 14, 2015), cover price $69.99 | About this edition: Our intuition on how the world works could well be wrong.
9781469061634, titled "No Ordinary Disruption: The Four Global Forces Breaking All the Trends: Library Edition" | Mp3 una edition (Blackstone Audio Inc, July 14, 2015), cover price $29.99 | About this edition: Our intuition on how the world works could well be wrong.

cover image for 9781469061641
Product Description: Our intuition on how the world works could well be wrong. We are surprised when new competitors burst onto the scene, when businesses protected by large and deep moats find their defenses breached, or when vast new markets are conjured from nothing...read more

Hardcover:

9780521352338, titled "Social Stereotyping" | Cambridge Univ Pr, December 1, 1995, cover price $55.01 | also contains Social Stereotyping

CD/Spoken Word:

9781469061641 | Unabridged edition (Blackstone Audio Inc, July 14, 2015), cover price $30.00 | About this edition: Our intuition on how the world works could well be wrong.

cover image for 9781491584262
Product Description: Few would argue with the fact that, on many fronts, we are a world in crisis. And there are two sides to every crisis, be it a leadership crisis, an economic crisis, an education crisis, or a moral crisis. The two sides to crisis are danger and opportunity...read more

Paperback:

9780380760619, titled "Gremlins 2: The New Batch" | Mti edition (Avon Books, July 1, 1990), cover price $3.95 | also contains Gremlins 2: The New Batch | About this edition: Gremlins 2: The New Batch

CD/Spoken Word:

9781491584262 | Com/cdr un edition (Brilliance Audio Lib Edn, April 7, 2015), cover price $52.97 | About this edition: Few would argue with the fact that, on many fronts, we are a world in crisis.

cover image for 9781440831744
Product Description: Presents the empirical data of business cycles and the theories that economists have developed to explain and prevent them, and considers case studies of recessions and depressions in the United States and internationally.• Features four primary forecasting techniques and assesses the effectiveness of these methods in forecasting actual business cycles• Examines the reasons behind the lessening frequency of recessions in postwar America• Makes the subject of economic crises timely and relevant by addressing the recent global financial crisis and the European debt crisis• Reveals how the collapse of the housing market led to a credit crunch and a global economic slowdow...read more

Hardcover:

9781440831744 | Praeger Pub Text, February 17, 2015, cover price $58.00 | About this edition: Presents the empirical data of business cycles and the theories that economists have developed to explain and prevent them, and considers case studies of recessions and depressions in the United States and internationally.

Offers menu plans, nutritional analyses, and more than seventy delicious and nutritious recipes that take no more than ten minutes to prepare, including recipes for healthy snacks
By Tim Wheeler (narrator)

Paperback:

9780380760794, titled "Quick and Easy Low-Fat, Low-Cholesterol Recipes Kids Will Love" | Avon Books, September 1, 1990, cover price $3.95 | also contains Quick and Easy Low-Fat, Low-Cholesterol Recipes Kids Will Love | About this edition: Offers menu plans, nutritional analyses, and more than seventy delicious and nutritious recipes that take no more than ten minutes to prepare, including recipes for healthy snacks
9780380760763, titled "Give Us This Day" | Reprint edition (Avon Books, July 1, 1990), cover price $3.95 | also contains Give Us This Day | About this edition: In April 1942, Sidney Stewart, a 21-year-old U.

Few would argue with the fact that, on many fronts, we are a world in crisis. And there are two sides to every crisis, be it a leadership crisis, an economic crisis, an education crisis or a moral crisis. The two side to crisis are danger and opportunity.Robert Kiyosaki’s new book, Second Chance…for Your Money and Your Life, uses the lessons from the past and a brutal assessment of the present to prepare readers to see—–and seize–—the future.If readers can train their minds to see what their eyes cannot, in a world that is becoming increasingly more ‘invisible’ and moving at a high rate of speed, they can have a second chance at creating the life they’ve always wanted.The global problems we face cannot be solved by the same minds and people who created them and today’s world demands the ability to see the future and prepare for what lies ahead…prepare for the opportunities as well as the challenges.Like it or not, we are all involved in the greatest evolutionary event in human history. The Industrial Age is over and the Information Age continues to accelerate. The visible agents of change have become invisible…and harder to see. And the future belongs to those who can train their minds, use the past to see the future, and take the steps to create the positive change they want to see in their lives.Second Chance is a guide to understanding how the past will shape the future and how you can use Information Age tools and insights to create a fresh start. This book is a guide to facing head-on the dangers of the crises around us—and steps and tips for seizing the opportunities they present.

Paperback:

9781612680460 | Plata Pub, January 6, 2015, cover price $17.95 | About this edition: Few would argue with the fact that, on many fronts, we are a world in crisis.

CD/Spoken Word:

9781491584248 | Com/cdr un edition (Brilliance Audio, April 7, 2015), cover price $19.99
9781491584255 | Mp3 una edition (Brilliance Audio, February 24, 2015), cover price $17.99 | About this edition: Few would argue with the fact that, on many fronts, we are a world in crisis.

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Product Description: A practical guide to understanding economic forecasts In Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts, UBS Chief U.S. Economist Maury Harris helps readers improve their own forecasting abilities by examining the elements and processes that characterize successful and failed forecasts...read more

Hardcover:

9781118865071 | John Wiley & Sons Inc, December 31, 2014, cover price $34.95 | About this edition: A practical guide to understanding economic forecasts In Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts, UBS Chief U.

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Product Description: To what extent should anybody who has to make model forecasts generated from detailed data analysis adjust their forecasts based on their own intuition? In this book, Philip Hans Franses, one of Europe's leading econometricians, presents the notion that many publicly available forecasts have experienced an 'expert's touch', and questions whether this type of intervention is useful and if a lighter adjustment would be more beneficial...read more

Hardcover:

9781107081598 | Cambridge Univ Pr, December 31, 2014, cover price $74.99 | About this edition: To what extent should anybody who has to make model forecasts generated from detailed data analysis adjust their forecasts based on their own intuition?

Paperback:

9781107441613 | Cambridge Univ Pr, October 31, 2014, cover price $29.99 | About this edition: To what extent should anybody who has to make model forecasts generated from detailed data analysis adjust their forecasts based on their own intuition?

cover image for 9780812247046
Product Description: Current debates about economic crises typically focus on the role that public debt and debt-fueled public spending play in economic growth. This illuminating and provocative work shows that it is the rapid expansion of private rather than public debt that constrains growth and sparks economic calamities like the financial crisis of 2008...read more

Hardcover:

9780812247046 | Univ of Pennsylvania Pr, July 15, 2014, cover price $15.95 | About this edition: Current debates about economic crises typically focus on the role that public debt and debt-fueled public spending play in economic growth.

cover image for 9781409441922
Product Description: In Time Series Analysis and Adjustment the authors explain how the last four decades have brought dramatic changes in the way researchers analyze economic and financial data on behalf of economic and financial institutions and provide statistics to whomsoever requires them...read more

Hardcover:

9781409441922 | Gower Pub Co, July 1, 2014, cover price $149.95 | About this edition: In Time Series Analysis and Adjustment the authors explain how the last four decades have brought dramatic changes in the way researchers analyze economic and financial data on behalf of economic and financial institutions and provide statistics to whomsoever requires them.

How can we effectively aggregate disparate pieces of information that are spread among many different individuals? In other words, how does one best access the ‘wisdom of the crowd’? Prediction markets, which are essentially speculative markets created for the purpose of aggregating information and making predictions, offer the answer to this question. The effective use of these markets has the potential not only to help forecast future events on a national and international level, but also to assist companies in providing, for example, improved estimates of the potential market size for a new product idea or the launch date of new products and services. The markets have already been used to forecast uncertain outcomes ranging from influenza outbreaks to the spread of other infectious diseases, to the demand for hospital services, to the box office success of movies, climate change, vote shares and election outcomes, to the probability of meeting project deadlines. The insights gained also have many potentially valuable applications for public policy more generally. These markets offer substantial promise as a tool of information aggregation as well as forecasting, whether alone or as a supplement to other mechanisms like surveys, group deliberations, and expert opinion. Moreover, they can be applied at a macroeconomic and microeconomic level to yield information that is valuable for government and commercial policy-makers and which can be used for a number of social purposes. This volume of original readings, contributed by many of the leading experts in the field, marks a significant addition to the base of knowledge about this fascinating subject area. The book should appeal to all those with an interest in economics, forecasting or public policy, and in particular those with an interest in the study of money, investment and risk.

Hardcover:

9780415572866 | Routledge, June 23, 2011, cover price $155.00 | About this edition: How can we effectively aggregate disparate pieces of information that are spread among many different individuals?

Paperback:

9781138802902 | Routledge, May 30, 2014, cover price $54.95

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Product Description: Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables...read more

Hardcover:

9781118497098 | John Wiley & Sons Inc, March 31, 2014, cover price $75.00 | About this edition: Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables.

cover image for 9781466554030
Product Description: Clearly, concisely, and with many examples from public and private enterprise, Upgrading Leadership’s Crystal Ball shows why predictions are usually wrong and presents a better way to look at the future―forecasting. This book is essential-reading for anyone who needs to make the best possible strategic decisions for moving an organization forward in today’s rapidly changing environment...read more

Paperback:

9781466554030 | Productivity Pr, October 24, 2013, cover price $29.95 | About this edition: Clearly, concisely, and with many examples from public and private enterprise, Upgrading Leadership’s Crystal Ball shows why predictions are usually wrong and presents a better way to look at the future―forecasting.

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